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Baylor vs. Houston odds, picks, predictions for March Insanity Last 4 recreation

Baylor vs. Houston odds, picks, predictions for March Madness Final Four game



Two faculties that haven’t been within the Last 4 since earlier than the beginning of the NCAA Event expanded period in 1985 are again within the highlight this yr.

No. 1 Baylor will meet No. 2 Houston in a Last 4 nationwide semifinal on Saturday. Tipoff might be at 5 p.m. or 8:30 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The sport might be televised by CBS.

Baylor (26-2) gained the South Area beneath coach Scott Drew with an 81-72 victory over Arkansas within the area ultimate. The Bears are within the Last 4 for the primary time since 1950. Jared Butler, MaCio Teague and Davion Mitchell proceed to hold Baylor by means of its event run.

Houston (28-3), the Midwest Area champion, is within the Last 4 for the primary time because the Phi Slama Jama heyday of 1982-84. Coach Kevin Sampson returns to the Last 4 for the primary time since 2002. Quentin Grimes and Marcus Sasser mixed for 9 3-pointers within the Cougars’ 67-61 victory over Oregon State within the Elite Eight.

This is the whole lot to find out about betting on Baylor vs. Arkansas within the 2021 NCAA Event, together with up to date odds, developments and our prediction for the Last 4 recreation.

MORE MARCH MADNESS: Stay scores | Up to date bracket | TV schedule

Baylor vs. Houston odds

  • Unfold: Baylor (-5)
  • Over/beneath: 135.5
  • Moneyline: Baylor -210, Houston +176

Three betting developments to observe

— Baylor is 19-10 ATS this season. The Bears are 8-3 ATS when favored by fewer than 10 factors.

— Baylor is 9-3 ATS and 12-0 S/U in nonconference video games.

— Houston is 20-11 ATS this season and 11-0 S/U in nonconference video games. That is the Cougars’ first recreation as an underdog this season.

Last 4 historical past

Houston is making its sixth Last 4 look. The Cougars reached the NCAA championship recreation in 1983 and 1984 with groups led by Hakeem Olajuwon and Clyde Drexler. Baylor made Last 4 appearances in 1948 and 1950. Kentucky beat the Bears 58-42 within the 1948 nationwide championship recreation.

Baylor key gamers

Butler (16.5 factors per recreation), Teague (15.9 ppg) and Mitchell (14.0 ppg) carry the scoring load for the Bears, and the upperclassmen additionally mix for near 12 assists per recreation. Baylor has a deep core of position gamers, too, together with Adam Flagler (9.0 ppg), Matthew Mayer (8.2 ppg), Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.3 ppg), Mark Very important (5.7 ppg) and Flo Thamba (3.6 ppg). That eight-man rotation is meshing on the proper time.

Houston key gamers

Junior guard Quentin Grimes averages 18.0 factors and 6.0 rebounds per recreation. He’s 17 of 39 (43.6 %) from 3-point vary within the NCAA Event. Sasser averages 13.3 factors as a part of the Cougars’ dynamic backcourt, and senior Dejon Jarreau contributes 10.8 factors and 5.4 rebounds per recreation. Justin Gorham (8.6 ppg, 8.6 rpg) is the lead submit participant

Greatest particular person matchup: Grimes vs. Mitchell

This has grow to be a theme for Baylor all through the season. Mitchell is a stopper — the Large 12 Defensive Participant of the 12 months. The Bears’ protection struggled within the first half in opposition to Arkansas when Mitchell picked up three first-half fouls. Grimes has only one recreation with 10 or extra free throws this season, and he can’t accept 3-point photographs with Mitchell on the perimeter.

Baylor vs. Houston stat to know

Each groups have defended the 3-point line effectively all through the event. Houston’s 4 opponents have shot 24 of 80 (30 %) from there. Baylor has restricted opponents to 19-of-72 taking pictures (26.4 %) from 3-point vary. If that development continues, then fast-break factors and half-court execution will make the distinction on either side.

Get to know . . . MaCio Teague

Teague, a senior who started his profession at UNC-Asheville, has emerged as one of many feel-good tales of the event. He failed to attain in double figures in back-to-back video games for the primary time this season within the second- and third-round video games in opposition to Villanova and Wisconsin, however he bounced again with 22 factors in opposition to Arkansas. Teague is Baylor’s second-best free-throw shooter at 85.9 %. On a stage the place that issues, he could possibly be a key participant within the ultimate minutes.

Baylor vs. Houston prediction

The colleges have a historical past that dates to their Southwest Convention days, and the Cougars have a 38-15 benefit within the sequence. The groups haven’t met since 2003, nonetheless, and the dueling Last 4 droughts ought to add to the depth. Each groups can win with their protection, and that might result in some tough taking pictures within the first half. Search for each groups to settle in throughout a good second half, however Baylor’s backcourt (and depth) might be a difference-maker. The Bears benefit from second-chance factors and make clutch free throws down the stretch.

Last rating: Baylor 73, Houston 67



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